PolyWeather tracks weather prediction markets, publishes research picks, and logs every settled result after it resolves. Research only — not financial advice.
Today · 2026-07-29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?
Today's desk read: NO @ 0.530 in Miami.
In plain terms: the desk's research leans NO on this market — a view on how it may resolve, not a recommendation to trade. Technical model details are below; the full model context and entry caveats are available to subscribers.
Model details
4 models (open_meteo_gfs, open_meteo_icon, open_meteo_gem, open_meteo_ecmwf) at Miami International Airport (KMIA): μ=93.0°F, inter-model spread=0.8°F (strong agreement), calibrated σ=6.3°F.
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