PolyWeather tracks weather prediction markets, publishes research picks, and logs every settled result after it resolves. Research only — not financial advice.
Today · 2026-06-13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?
Today's desk read: NO @ 0.510 in Munich.
In plain terms: the desk's research leans NO on this market — a view on how it may resolve, not a recommendation to trade. Technical model details are below; full sizing and entry thresholds are available to subscribers.
Model details
4 models (open_meteo_gfs, open_meteo_icon, open_meteo_gem, open_meteo_ecmwf) at Munich Airport (EDDM): μ=75.2°F, inter-model spread=0.0°F (strong agreement), calibrated σ=3.6°F.
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